Wednesday, December 05, 2007

New Intelligence Report Says Something, Maybe, About Iran Nukes That Nobody Can Really Agree On

Okay, here we go: a newly published National Intelligence Estimate suggests that Iran "halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003 and that the program remains on hold." This new report contradicts a report from two years ago that said...uhm, precisely the opposite. And the suggested way forward from here?

"Some combination of threats of intensified international scrutiny and pressures, along with opportunities for Iran to achieve its security, prestige, and goals for regional influence in other ways might -- if perceived by Iran's leaders as credible -- prompt Tehran to extend the current halt to its nuclear weapons program," the estimate states.

Dig that big ol' "if" in the middle of the paragraph! It's admittedly tough to find ways to put the words "Iran's leaders" and "credible" together in a single sentence. And even if it wasn't, it's hard to imagine that such a carrot-rich environment can be established with Joe Lieberman batting his eyelashes at General David Petraeus, dreaming of a military incursion into Iran.

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