Wednesday, March 18, 2009

The Good News Is That Newspapers May Last Till The End Of Time. The Bad News Is That The End Of Time May Soon Be Reported, In A Newspaper.

Clay Shirky isn't thinking nearly unthinkable enough:

That is what real revolutions are like. The old stuff gets broken faster than the new stuff is put in its place. The importance of any given experiment isn’t apparent at the moment it appears; big changes stall, small changes spread. Even the revolutionaries can’t predict what will happen.
But what if the old stuff gets broken and there is no new stuff to put in it's place? Was that new stuff dependent on an economy in which conspicuous consumption flourished? Because we may not be getting that sort of economy back, ever. Or maybe you imagine that the revolution would be floated on credit and the general agreement that we'd look the other way where tangible business plans and instrinsic value is concerned? Uhm, no. Been there, done that, I'm afraid. Anyway, one thing the revolutionaries might not predict is that they're not nearly as revolutionary as they give themselves credit for being.

At least the old broke stuff will be dirt cheap.

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